Multi Group Conflict Paths

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    We explore intractable social conflicts in various contexts where
    unexpected outcomes can be costly and/or violent. We extend a
    network model of two-group conflict dynamics to multiple groups.
    We study the time dependence of the groups’ mean attitudes, using
    mean-field theory. We incorporate contextual characteristics that
    alter the group dynamics. We find that in time, regardless of initial
    conditions, the paths followed by the groups’ mean attitudes converge
    to a multi-dimensional attractor. Small differences in initial
    conditions do not diminish or diverge exponentially over time, but
    instead generate stable oscillations. We offer examples for which
    the model could be used to construct scenarios of conflict paths in
    time and we examine how context changes might affect these paths
    and in-group attitudes. The scenarios can inform the strategies that
    groups might select to contend with each other.
    Original languageAmerican English
    JournalJournal on Policy and Complex Systems
    Volume5
    DOIs
    StatePublished - 2019

    Keywords

    • social networks; social physics of conflicts; group cohesion; intra- and inter-group interactions; group decisions; collective behaviors

    Disciplines

    • Physical Sciences and Mathematics
    • Social and Behavioral Sciences

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